The Effect Of Population Aging On Future Hospital Demand -- Strunk et al., 10.1377/hlthaff.25.w141 -- Health Affairs
The Effect Of Population Aging On Future Hospital Demand -- Strunk et al., 10.1377/hlthaff.25.w141 -- Health Affairs:
A simulation of future spending finds that aging will not be the strongest influence on inpatient hospital use.
by Bradley C. Strunk, Paul B. Ginsburg, and Michelle I. Banker
"ABSTRACT:
This analysis examines how shifts in the age distribution of the U.S. population, reflecting both the aging of the baby-boom generation and increased longevity, will affect demand for hospital inpatient services during the next ten years. Over that period, aging will drive about 0.74 percent annual growth in use of services. Aging's effect on inpatient demand varies by medical condition, with the highest rates of growth in services most used by elderly patients. Even for those services, however, aging is a much less important factor than local population trends and changing practice patterns attributable to advancing medical technology. [Health Affairs 25 (2006): w141-w149 (published online 28 March 2006; 10.1377/hlthaff.25.w141)]
A common theme permeating a wide range of contemporary health policy debates is the gradual aging of the U.S. population and its effect on the U.S. health care system. As a result of the baby-boom generation - the leading edge of which is now turning age sixty - the proportion of the U.S. population older than age sixty-five is projected to grow from 12.4 percent in 2005 to 14.5 percent in 2015 and 18.2 percent in 2025.1 Although the aging of the baby-boom generation is a key factor in the aging of the population as a whole, increasing life expectancy is also important./.../"
A simulation of future spending finds that aging will not be the strongest influence on inpatient hospital use.
by Bradley C. Strunk, Paul B. Ginsburg, and Michelle I. Banker
"ABSTRACT:
This analysis examines how shifts in the age distribution of the U.S. population, reflecting both the aging of the baby-boom generation and increased longevity, will affect demand for hospital inpatient services during the next ten years. Over that period, aging will drive about 0.74 percent annual growth in use of services. Aging's effect on inpatient demand varies by medical condition, with the highest rates of growth in services most used by elderly patients. Even for those services, however, aging is a much less important factor than local population trends and changing practice patterns attributable to advancing medical technology. [Health Affairs 25 (2006): w141-w149 (published online 28 March 2006; 10.1377/hlthaff.25.w141)]
A common theme permeating a wide range of contemporary health policy debates is the gradual aging of the U.S. population and its effect on the U.S. health care system. As a result of the baby-boom generation - the leading edge of which is now turning age sixty - the proportion of the U.S. population older than age sixty-five is projected to grow from 12.4 percent in 2005 to 14.5 percent in 2015 and 18.2 percent in 2025.1 Although the aging of the baby-boom generation is a key factor in the aging of the population as a whole, increasing life expectancy is also important./.../"
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